After breakfast, I decided to call Mike Oram after viewing his post on the channel group. There was going to a small break in the wind, but not enough to settle the seas. The report is as follows.
We decided it was not worth the risk with such a small window. Unfortunately as the weather is not called to improve. I have one more call with Mike to make sure about Wednesday, but chances are slim to none.
It's OK with me, the water and air are very cold and I really do not want to be sick all summer, I still have the SwimAcrosstheSound in 2 week and a good 10K in Long Beach CA in Sept. I'm always welcome over here and if the weather clears I still may be back.
I still did a quick hour with John Collingwood, cold hands from the wind chill, all else fine. Dave, the harbor seal, visited another swimmer, he wasn't interested in me, bummer.
... But in the meantime, Amanda and I (and all the swimmers and helpers at the beach) got caught in an amazing Thunder Storm. Flash Flooding was a common find. Amanda and I took refuge at Blakes, only to witness the basement and garden flooding, before Amanda finished her shopping, I'm pretty much done, but have one more go at it in London later this week, assuming I won't be in the channel.
I actually am QUITE ready to return to a HOT CT summer, I feel like I'm trapped in a cool Autumn fortnight with occasional breaks in sun.
Until tomorrow.
At the moment (0900 bst) the Sandettie light ship is showing South Westerly
@ 22 knots and a 1.6 ft wave height of 6 secs duration.
It's been blowing at 20+ knots for most of the night and wave heights
have reached 3 foot plus (1 metre) when it was wind against tide.
The water temp is 59.2°F - (15.1°C). that's a slight drop from earlier
this week.
Air temperature is a little less at 58.1°F - (14.5°C).
The wind and tide are together at the moment this will change to wind
against tide at around 1245 / 1300.
See below for the Met office forecast -- www.metoffice.gov.uk.
"Coast and sea" for the shipping & inshore waters
Dover - Langdon Bay for the land forecast.
--------------------------------
Shipping Forecast - Issued: 0405 UTC Sat 14 Jul
Wind - Southwesterly 5 to 7 veering northwesterly 4 or 5, then backing
westerly 3 or 4 later.
Sea State - Moderate occasionally rough, becoming slight or moderate.
Weather - Rain or thundery showers.
Visibility - Good, occasionally poor.
--------------------------------
North Foreland to Selsey
Bill - inshore waters forecast
Strong winds are forecast
For coastal areas up to 12 miles offshore from 0600 UTC Sat 14 Jul until 0600
UTC Sun 15 Jul 24
hour forecast:
Wind - Southwesterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6 at first in east, veering
northwesterly 3 or 4, then backing westerly later.
Sea State - Moderate becoming slight.
Weather - Rain or thundery showers, becoming fair later.
Visibility - Moderate or good.
--------------------------------
Outlook for the following 24 hours: 0600 Sun 15 Jul to 0600 Mon
16th Jul
Wind - Westerly 3 or 4 backing southwesterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6 in
east.
Sea State - Slight becoming moderate.
Weather - Showers.
Visibility - Good
Langdon Bay predictions --
25 mph gusts forecast for 1300 through to 1900 - then a lull from 1900
until midday Sunday. From 1300 Sunday the wind is forecast to build with the
wind veering (going clockwise) at 26 mph through to midnight.
Monday & Tuesday is showing predicted gusts of up to 40 mph (gales
again)
Looking at the pressure chart it looks like late Thursday or Friday before
anything with settle enough for a swim.
The weather is changing quickly with the UK in a jet stream situation. Best
we can do is hope the weather forecasters have got it wrong and things will
change for the better.
Regards
Michael O
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